The next great consumer-hardware category may sit on your nose, and it is arriving fast. Global smart-glasses shipments grew 110% in the first half of 2025 and 139% in the second, a market roughly doubling year on year, with AI-enabled glasses now the overwhelming majority of it.[1][2] The question is who wins it, and the answer is more contested than the headlines suggest.

82%
Meta Ray-Ban share of smart-glasses shipments, H2 2025
139%
Global smart-glasses shipment growth, H2 2025
after 110% growth in the first half of 2025
¥1,999
Launch price of Xiaomi's AI glasses, June 2025
284,000
Consumer AR units sold in China in 2024

Meta owns the front page: its Ray-Ban glasses held around 82% of shipments in the second half of 2025.[1] But directly behind it sits a Chinese company. Xiaomi ranked second globally after launching its AI glasses in June 2025 at 1,999 yuan, roughly $275, with shipments up more than 200%.[1][3] And in augmented-reality glasses specifically, Chinese brands Xreal, Rokid and RayNeo led a market that sold some 284,000 consumer AR units in China alone in 2024.[4]

Meta wins the brand. China wins the supply chain, including the factory that assembles Meta’s glasses.

Whose glasses are these, really?

Look under the brand and the picture tilts further east. China’s Goertek manufactures Meta’s Ray-Ban glasses, and Chinese firms supply much of the category’s hardest components — the micro-displays, camera modules and optics.[1] Even where a Western brand wins the customer, a Chinese supply chain wins the build.

Two honest caveats. China’s share of glasses as a consumption market is small, around 6%, which is a different thing from the share held by Chinese brands, which is large; the two are easily and often confused. And precise share figures for Rokid, Baidu and Alibaba’s glasses are not cleanly published, so those belong in the story qualitatively.

The consequence for portfolios

Smart glasses are the clearest new hardware category since the smartwatch, and China’s position in it is the pattern worth noting: not the marquee brand, but the strong number two plus ownership of the manufacturing and components that every brand depends on. That is a familiar and durable place to sit, the picks-and-shovels of a gold rush, and it means Chinese firms benefit whether Meta wins or a home-grown brand breaks through. We track the category on two axes: the branded contest, where Xiaomi is the credible challenger, and the supply chain, where China is already, quietly, indispensable.

The one-line versionSmart-glasses shipments more than doubled in a year. Meta owns the headline (82%), but Xiaomi is the #2 brand globally, Chinese firms own the AR niche — and Goertek of Shenzhen builds Meta's own Ray-Bans. China doesn't have the marquee brand; it has the supply chain every brand depends on.
What each source supports
RefPublicationDateSupports
[1]Counterpoint ResearchFeb 2026H2 2025 growth, Meta's 82% share, Goertek assembly
[2]Counterpoint ResearchAug 2025H1 2025 shipment growth of 110%
[3]GizmochinaJun 2025Xiaomi AI glasses launch and 1,999 yuan price
[4]TrendForceDec 2024284,000 consumer AR units sold in China, 2024

References

  1. Counterpoint Research, “Global Smart Glasses Shipments Grew 139% YoY in H2 2025; Meta Expanded Share to 82%,” Feb 2026. Read source ↗
  2. Counterpoint Research, “Global Smart Glasses Shipments Soared 110% YoY in H1 2025, Meta Capturing Over 70% Share,” Aug 2025. Read source ↗
  3. Gizmochina, “Xiaomi launches its first AI glasses with 2K video, voice assistant, and a 1999 yuan price tag,” Jun 2025. Read source ↗
  4. TrendForce, “Why Are AR Glasses Reportedly Outselling Apple’s Vision Pro in China, with 284K Units Sold in 2024?,” Dec 2024. Read source ↗

Every source above is public and linked. This is a research brief from Singularity Dynamics; full briefings on this topic are available on request.

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